by Edarmoc » Tue Mar 22, 2016 1:15 pm
I think we've reached the point of enough mutually assured destruction that there wouldn't be a case in which Russia would just march into the Baltics and start claiming Poland. As unhinged as Putin is, he still engineered his annexing of Crimea very slowly and carefully, and made sure that it was in no way publicly attached with the actual Russian military (at least on the front end). When Putin sensed some pushback on the Russian backing of Assad, he wrote an op-ed to the New York Times about it, very carefully trying to paint it as a desire to maintain peace and order. There's clearly some desire on his part to seem within the bounds of international law and goodwill, even if his actions often contradict that image. I just don't see him being so brazen as to try a land grab that would be decried by the entire rest of the world and would almost certainly lead to more economic harm than benefit (even if it didn't come to actual military conflict)