The next transformation
Posted: Fri Feb 07, 2014 1:39 pm
I posted this in the history forum but really my question is about the future. What do you think needs to happen for humanity to take the next great leap? Meaning, we could say for example that the Bronze Age Revolution, the Industrial Revolution, and so on were quite significant. The latter in particular, through increased urbanization, communication, and connection across the world brought us what we now term "modernity." But what kinds of technological or social change do you think would have to occur to significantly transform existing social structures and create in a very substantive sense a new world? Some brief ideas:
1) Energy. While I doubt the apocalyptic theories about "peak oil," and quite a bit has been going on in exploiting new oil resources such as fracking, we haven't gotten to the stage where we have sustainably met our long-term energy needs. Moreover with China, India, and other newly industrializing countries requiring vast amounts of resources for their development, it's quite clear that oil won't sustain us over the long haul. So whether it's solar, biofuel, whatever, there would need to be significant transformation in the energy sector to unleash the better part of human potential.
2) Space. Though we've advanced quite far with the recent rise of the internet and new features such as social media, we haven't actually transcended our understanding of the world as a bounded sphere, and having an ever-present map of the earth in our minds. What would our society look like if we were to take seriously space colonization. What kinds of new social identities might be spawned in the movement from the earth to colonies beyond? How would distance, length of travel time, etc. influence our new perceptions of time, distance, and potential connectivity?
3) Post-human modifications. Already we have a sense of the malleability of the human body, what with plastic surgery, performance enhancing drugs, and so on. But what happens if we are able to eventually integrate ourselves into networks through robotic adaptations, or even modify aspects of our DNA? What kinds of stigmas or new social identities might develop around human modification?
I know this all sounds very sci fi and speculative but I'm actually keen to discuss these possible changes from a historically-informed perspective, based on what we know about previous changes in society and their impact on our relative understanding of the world. One of the greatest changes will occur I think when we finally move beyond this planet, because we've been so used to thinking about the world as simply a bounded sphere. How also will this impact large social structures such as capitalism? Will the logic of the market still prevail, or will old/new patterns of social action arise such as piracy?
Finally a fourth possibility:
4) Nuclear war or some kind of techno-environmental collapse. It's worth discussing what kind of social structure might persist in the face of permanent ecological disaster. Historical examples drawn from places such as the Yucatan or Easter Island might also be useful.
1) Energy. While I doubt the apocalyptic theories about "peak oil," and quite a bit has been going on in exploiting new oil resources such as fracking, we haven't gotten to the stage where we have sustainably met our long-term energy needs. Moreover with China, India, and other newly industrializing countries requiring vast amounts of resources for their development, it's quite clear that oil won't sustain us over the long haul. So whether it's solar, biofuel, whatever, there would need to be significant transformation in the energy sector to unleash the better part of human potential.
2) Space. Though we've advanced quite far with the recent rise of the internet and new features such as social media, we haven't actually transcended our understanding of the world as a bounded sphere, and having an ever-present map of the earth in our minds. What would our society look like if we were to take seriously space colonization. What kinds of new social identities might be spawned in the movement from the earth to colonies beyond? How would distance, length of travel time, etc. influence our new perceptions of time, distance, and potential connectivity?
3) Post-human modifications. Already we have a sense of the malleability of the human body, what with plastic surgery, performance enhancing drugs, and so on. But what happens if we are able to eventually integrate ourselves into networks through robotic adaptations, or even modify aspects of our DNA? What kinds of stigmas or new social identities might develop around human modification?
I know this all sounds very sci fi and speculative but I'm actually keen to discuss these possible changes from a historically-informed perspective, based on what we know about previous changes in society and their impact on our relative understanding of the world. One of the greatest changes will occur I think when we finally move beyond this planet, because we've been so used to thinking about the world as simply a bounded sphere. How also will this impact large social structures such as capitalism? Will the logic of the market still prevail, or will old/new patterns of social action arise such as piracy?
Finally a fourth possibility:
4) Nuclear war or some kind of techno-environmental collapse. It's worth discussing what kind of social structure might persist in the face of permanent ecological disaster. Historical examples drawn from places such as the Yucatan or Easter Island might also be useful.