yes it's 1% short of bear market, I expect we'll get there very soon
Spain doubled cases to a bit over 1k
I read roughly 20% of people with it are completely asymptomatic
By the end of the month most of the world will be on lockdown
Chinese Coronavirus 2019-nCoV - Prepare for the Worst Now
Re: Chinese Coronavirus 2019-nCoV - Prepare for the Worst No
by John Galt » Mon Mar 09, 2020 5:03 pm
Americans learn only from catastrophe and not from experience. -- Theodore Roosevelt
My life has become a single, ongoing revelation that I haven’t been cynical enough.
My life has become a single, ongoing revelation that I haven’t been cynical enough.
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Re: Chinese Coronavirus 2019-nCoV - Prepare for the Worst No
by spacemonkey » Tue Mar 10, 2020 11:20 am
The hardest part of doing nothing is knowing when your done.
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Re: Chinese Coronavirus 2019-nCoV - Prepare for the Worst No
by John Galt » Tue Mar 10, 2020 11:49 am
at current rates, looks like 50K by end of month, 12 million by the end of april, everyone by end of may
but the problem is that say 5% of cases are "severe". that means somewhere in april we run out of hospital beds if all hospital beds (~140k) are used exclusively for coronavirus
but the problem is that say 5% of cases are "severe". that means somewhere in april we run out of hospital beds if all hospital beds (~140k) are used exclusively for coronavirus
Americans learn only from catastrophe and not from experience. -- Theodore Roosevelt
My life has become a single, ongoing revelation that I haven’t been cynical enough.
My life has become a single, ongoing revelation that I haven’t been cynical enough.
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John Galt - Technical Admin
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Re: Chinese Coronavirus 2019-nCoV - Prepare for the Worst No
by John Galt » Tue Mar 10, 2020 2:33 pm
Americans learn only from catastrophe and not from experience. -- Theodore Roosevelt
My life has become a single, ongoing revelation that I haven’t been cynical enough.
My life has become a single, ongoing revelation that I haven’t been cynical enough.
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John Galt - Technical Admin
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Re: Chinese Coronavirus 2019-nCoV - Prepare for the Worst No
by John Galt » Tue Mar 10, 2020 10:01 pm
I've really got to get back to reality and read my own signature as I've been way too optimistic
US increased cases by 300 today. This is like 20% more than the total cases 5 days ago. And that's not even testing mild or asymptomatic really at all. Similar to Italy, which is breaking down. In Italy half of the cases require hospitalization, because so many have it but are not recorded. It's probably more like 5-10%. Italy is totally f**k and we're up to bat soon
US increased cases by 300 today. This is like 20% more than the total cases 5 days ago. And that's not even testing mild or asymptomatic really at all. Similar to Italy, which is breaking down. In Italy half of the cases require hospitalization, because so many have it but are not recorded. It's probably more like 5-10%. Italy is totally f**k and we're up to bat soon
Americans learn only from catastrophe and not from experience. -- Theodore Roosevelt
My life has become a single, ongoing revelation that I haven’t been cynical enough.
My life has become a single, ongoing revelation that I haven’t been cynical enough.
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John Galt - Technical Admin
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Re: Chinese Coronavirus 2019-nCoV - Prepare for the Worst No
by John Galt » Tue Mar 10, 2020 10:49 pm
Spain and France looking to be locked down in a week. This is based on proportion of test for new cases coming back positive
Americans learn only from catastrophe and not from experience. -- Theodore Roosevelt
My life has become a single, ongoing revelation that I haven’t been cynical enough.
My life has become a single, ongoing revelation that I haven’t been cynical enough.
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John Galt - Technical Admin
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