by Professor » Tue May 13, 2014 12:12 pm
Also, one other thing.
I believe that, in the future, "all out wars" (at least, those involving America) will involve even fewer casualties than these "insurgent" wars. In an all-out war, combatants are clearly defined and tend to not hide among civilians. We can kill a tank, an air base, or a ship, and civilian casualties are held to a bare minimum. In these insurgent wars, the insurgents are the civilians. At night, when sleeping in their homes, they are civilians. Then, they wake up, pick up their gun, and suddenly they're an insurgent. Kinda tough to differentiate between them when deciding which category to sort them into when they're killed.
Oh, and for clarity on the numbers I used, I took high estimates of civilians/military, then subtracted. Then took low estimates, and subtracted. Then either averages or "best guesses" and did the same. For Vietnam, the ratios were something like 21% (for low estimates), 37% for high, and 41% for best guesses.