new bogeyman: The Khorason Group

[The Dharma Bum]

ISIS has a short shelf life if we do nothing, they are incapable of ruling. our actions only serve to entrench their cause and to vitalize their movement

and the term "religious genocide" is a non sequitur

[Homer]

[The Comrade]

[The Comrade]

[The Dharma Bum]

they do not appear to possess the requisite skill set needed to administer the region

[The Comrade]

[The Dharma Bum]

the political or administrative skill sets

other disadvantages include:

they have alienated most of the muslim population and their policies are extremely unpopular in all majority muslim nations. both the shia and the sunnis hate them and they will never gain a foothold in the respective strongholds of these groups.

they don't have enough troops to take major cities or the oilfields in southern iraq and kurdistan high end estimates of their troop strength are about 50K which is less than either the Iraqi military or the peshmerga

and while they have huge financial resources in terms of being a militant group 1 billion dollars isn't enough to last long in the context of being a national government

so while they are a pretty damn good militant group they don't have snowballs chance in hell of holding on to any of their gains as a national gov.

[The Comrade]

except the iraqi army and the peshmerga wouldn't be pushing them back right now without US help so even if ISIS couldn't take southern iraq neither could iraq take back their territory. also, the taliban were pretty shitty administrators. they still held on to afghanistan. it's naive to say that ISIS couldn't exist for long simply because of how awful they are.

[eynon81]

[eynon81]