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The most peaceful era? Right now. • Page 2 • General Discussion • Political Crossfire Forums

The most peaceful era? Right now.

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Re: The most peaceful era? Right now.

Postby OGPhilly » Tue Oct 02, 2012 11:31 am

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Re: The most peaceful era? Right now.

Postby eynon81 » Tue Oct 02, 2012 11:41 am

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Re: The most peaceful era? Right now.

Postby The Dharma Bum » Tue Oct 02, 2012 11:55 am

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Re: The most peaceful era? Right now.

Postby eynon81 » Tue Oct 02, 2012 12:02 pm

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Re: The most peaceful era? Right now.

Postby Professor » Tue Oct 02, 2012 12:05 pm

Something else to consider.

I think that, proportional to the overall population, person-on-person violence is probably declining. Based on the stats in the book. In other words, if 5000 people were killed per year in the US in 1790 and 15,000 are killed in 2012, you're far less likely to get killed now, simply because it's 15,000 out of 300+ million.

However, there are still only 24 hours in a day. And, only a few hours are actually devoted to reporting news (even 24-hour stations only spend a few hours actually reporting NEW news, the rest of the time it's the same thing from a different talking head). Let's say your city had 50,000 people in 1950 and had 180 murders. Roughly every other night, there would be a report of a murder in the city on the news. By 2000, the population has increased to 125,000 while the murders have increased to 365. Well, now the news is reporting on it every single night, or perhaps even twice in one night. You'd think that the murder rate was going up. But, it's actually decreased.

Just saying that this might also be a factor in our "perception" of local violence.

Oh, as for the nuclear threat - I still remember (kinda - I grew up in the 80s, but had a dad who was a missile launch officer) what it felt like to absolutely KNOW that the Soviets were going to nuke us one day. Regardless of the actual chances of that happening, I remember thinking it was inevitable. However, there is no way that anyone is going to suitcase-nuke New Orleans. Sure, I know that it's possible. New Orleans being an importation hub, we might even make a short-list of cities likely to have it happen. But, the chance of anything like that happening, and of it happening here, and of it happening while I'm here, is so slim as to be inconsequential to my day-to-day thoughts.
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Re: The most peaceful era? Right now.

Postby Indy » Tue Oct 02, 2012 12:14 pm

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Re: The most peaceful era? Right now.

Postby PoS » Tue Oct 02, 2012 12:16 pm

1910 was an excellent time for peace as well, Western Europe was cosmopolitan and more or less safe to travel back around just as North America was too. Colonial empires kept the rest of the world in check.

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Re: The most peaceful era? Right now.

Postby OGPhilly » Tue Oct 02, 2012 12:56 pm

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Re: The most peaceful era? Right now.

Postby Spider » Tue Oct 02, 2012 4:12 pm

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Re: The most peaceful era? Right now.

Postby Mr.Bill » Tue Oct 02, 2012 4:54 pm

I think it's no secret the nuclear bomb has done a lot to keep the world in 'check'..

In spite of all the bad news, and fear of a WW III deaths from war have dropped dramatically since 1945.
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