by exploited » Thu Oct 10, 2019 12:46 pm
I agree that sanctions don't result in regime changes, at least in the way they are typically thought about. I highly doubt the Communist Party would be replaced as a result of sanctions, whether they are imposed internationally or just by the US. Indeed, there is considerable evidence that sanctions actually strengthened the South African apartheid regime.
I personally doubt that free markets result in regime change anymore than sanctions. I can't think of any examples of that working, off the top of my head.
Ultimately, though, I don't know if regime change is even the goal here. Mere punishment and introducing difficulties is enough. As is rebuilding the strength of our international order by focusing on an appropriate external enemy. And, most of all, it will provide a rational framework for nations to approach China. Yes, we can consider trading with them, but we will need some concessions in return. Real guarantees, backed by inspections and oversight, of Hong Kong autonomy, even in the absence of recognition of their independence, would be a benefit. Reduction in SOE would be another tangible goal that could be pursued. The release of the Muslims in concentration camps would be another. Ending their aggressive regional military expansion is another. The important thing is that we need to make them realize that the leeway we gave them during their development is OVER. If they want to sit at the big boy table, they will be held to big boy standards.
Last edited by
exploited on Thu Oct 10, 2019 12:58 pm, edited 1 time in total.