by Kane » Thu Jun 11, 2020 9:21 am
Looks like the market is waking up to the reality of a second wave, loose mask enforcement, and a grim report by the Federal Reserve indicating recovery lasting into 2022.
About that report - it lasting into 2022 was on the rosy end of projections. Bringing unemployment down from 9.3% to 5.3% over that short time span would be an amazing feat. Austin Goolsbee noted that even during the Obama recovery unemployment dropped by only 0.7% per year. Without considerable fiscal support we are looking a situation like or even worse than the Great Recession and I'm guessing that's why Mnuchin hinted that further stimulus would be absolutely necessary.
Also consider that the market is down by over 1,000 points right now even with what is likely heavy support from the Fed.